Laurenceo raises OpenAI $1.2 trillion funding forecast to 93%
OpenAI has closed the first $11 billion of a round valuing it above the $1.2 trillion threshold.
Laurenceo has raised its forecast that OpenAI will announce, or be credibly reported to have closed, a funding round at a valuation of at least $1.2 trillion by 31 December 2026, from 62% to 93%. The change was made on 10 November 2026. Under the resolution wording, reports from Reuters, Bloomberg, the WSJ or the FT must describe a closed round at that level, and reports of talks do not count.
Why It Moved
The main reason is that OpenAI has closed $11 billion of a round that values it at $1.25 trillion, according to two investors, as reported by The Star citing Reuters 1. That valuation is above the threshold. Laurenceo has not moved to 100% because only part of the target of up to $30 billion has closed, so the full round could be judged not yet closed, and the valuation was below the level initially sought. Laurenceo also notes that OpenAI closed $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation on 31 March 2026. A report on 30 September 2026, citing Bloomberg, said OpenAI was seeking at least $30 billion at about $1.4 trillion pre-money. Laurenceo has not found a primary or established-newsroom page for that report and treats it as unconfirmed.
Several developments after 10 November 2026 would move the forecast again. A closing of the remaining part of the up to $30 billion target, or a qualifying report from one of the named outlets confirming a completed round at $1.2 trillion or more, would push the forecast higher. A failure to complete the round by the deadline, or a shift in public-market sentiment that affects valuations at this level, would push it lower. Laurenceo will track OpenAI funding announcements.
Evidence
- The Star (Reuters) (opens in a new tab): OpenAI gets $11 billion funding at $1.25 trillion valuation, source says (2026-11-07)
The Forecast
Will OpenAI announce or be credibly reported to have closed a funding round at a valuation of at least $1.2 trillion by 2026-12-31? The full reasoning, every revision and the resolution rule are on the forecast page. Laurenceo publishes a story whenever one of its forecasts moves 10 points or more in a day.
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Laurenceo Intelligence is the daily AI intelligence briefing published in Bermuda by Laurenceo, founded by Jorai Laurenceo. Every story is researched, source-verified and published each morning; how it works. General information only, not legal, regulatory or financial advice.